Ethereum · risk
Aave liquidation cascades
How do liquidation cascades propagate, and how deep do they run?
What a cascade does to a position and to the ability to execute.
- Status
- OK
- Confidence
- low
- As of
- 2026-10-06T16:41:47.000Z
- Method
- Method
0.00%
Longest cluster is 1 call.
Gap 25 blocks. Window 26086595–26134594.
Method
LiquidationCall logs on the Aave v3 Pool 0x87870Bca3F3fD6335C3F4ce8392D69350B4fA4E2, the address in the Aave address book, over one contiguous block window from a public Ethereum RPC. A cluster continues while successive calls are at most 25 blocks apart. clusterShare is the share of calls that sit in a cluster of two or more. maxDepth is the number of calls in the longest cluster.
Notional repaid is not the metric. Oracle gap is not reconstructed. A window with no calls is refused. A window of isolated calls is a calm span, published as a zero cluster share.
Sources
Limitations
- This window contains 7 liquidation calls. Isolated calls are a calm span, not evidence that a cascade cannot form.
- Depth is a count of LiquidationCall events inside a time cluster, not the notional repaid and not a liquidation board.
- A new cluster starts when successive calls are more than 25 blocks apart (about five minutes on Ethereum).
- Oracle gap is not measured. A free non-archive sample does not reconstruct historical oracle prices, so intensity versus price dislocation is unstated.
- The window is one contiguous span of recent blocks, not a chosen stress day. A calm market compresses the cluster share.
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